{July 2021} Diminishing Inventory Problem
Summer is such a wonderful time. I still remember the lazy afternoons during summer breaks, when I was going to school. I would oscillate between boredom and relaxation, my mind wandering free. This July I took the kids swimming and hiking. We saw some really funny animals and did the Treetop Adventure in a downpour (unplanned) in the Bronx Zoo. Hope everyone is enjoying their summer!
The NYC real estate market also took a slight breather as we headed to late July and entered the traditionally slow month of August. Slightly fewer listings went into contract in July, compared with March to June – but still a higher than usual 1350 in-contract listings. Total supply of available homes continued to decline to 9.5 months, the same level as March 2020 right before the pandemic. This means we have worked through the inventory built-up during the pandemic, but inventory is still higher than the equilibrium of 7.5 months. The rental market has absolutely gone crazy. Almost every listing gets multiple offers as soon as it hits the market. No more wondering if people are moving back to the city.
The NYC market has been well supported by domestic buyers. Are the international buyers back? Here are some feelers.
The NYC real estate market is operating with limited optimism. Right before and after the rate cut, there was a rush of activities.
This is the first time in 3 years that the beginning of the fall came with the busy tone September usually brings.
It feels like dawn is finally coming. The real estate market in NYC has been in a tough spot ever since rates started to rise in June 2022.
After a difficult March and April, where 6 contracts didn’t get signed back to back, May offered a much needed respite from that string of heartbreak.
The NYC real estate market is at an interesting crossroad. On the one hand, we feel a lot of pent-up demand from buyers who have been watching and waiting for rates to go down.
The big momentum we saw in January slowed down in March, as the expectation of rate cuts dimmed. It was as if the subset of buyers who were rushing to take advantage of the window where prices were still low and rates were still high, had done what they needed to do and the market slowly came back to the slower pace of 2023.
February was a little busier than January, which was busier than all of 2023. It felt that spring was in the air after a long winter for the New York real estate market.
2024 started with a busy tone for the New York City real estate market. For all of 2023, we said to our buyers that “you marry the price but not the rate”, meaning now was a good time to buy because it’s a buyer’s market and prices were negotiable.
The real estate market in NYC saw about 15% more transactions in December 2023 than a year ago in December 2022. Is it a telltale sign that the real estate prices will recover in 2024? Prices haven’t moved but more buyers have come off the sidelines and jumped into the market to start the search.
The NYC real estate market was the tale of two cities in October. Total transaction volume ticked higher, even though rates moved higher and sentiment was tense. Most of our new clients were understandably quiet. But quite a few of our repeat clients, the real estate veterans, were busy putting deals together.