{May 2020} Busy Summer Expected for NYC Real Estate
Yesterday morning my older daughter and I waited for the SpaceX astronauts to open the hatch to enter the ISS and read this together:
“There comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe nor political nor popular, but he must take it because his conscience tells him it is right.
The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.
We will remember not the words of our enemies, but the silence of our friends.
Nonviolence is a powerful and just weapon. Indeed, it is a weapon unique in history, which cuts without wounding and ennobles the man who wields it.”
-- Martin Luther King Jr.
The NYC real estate market continued to feel warmer in terms of inquiries, even though May was an abysmal month from a data standpoint: only 25% as many listings hit the market and only 10% as many listings went into contract this May, compared to last May. However, our industry is expecting a very busy summer once we reopen, hopefully in the 3rd week of June. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Purchase Index increased 8.6% from a week earlier. It was the sixth consecutive weekly gain and a 54% surge since early April. The real estate industry was expected to lead the recovery. Compass’ California office had its busiest weekend in history after they reopened.
The NYC real estate market is operating with limited optimism. Right before and after the rate cut, there was a rush of activities.
This is the first time in 3 years that the beginning of the fall came with the busy tone September usually brings.
It feels like dawn is finally coming. The real estate market in NYC has been in a tough spot ever since rates started to rise in June 2022.
After a difficult March and April, where 6 contracts didn’t get signed back to back, May offered a much needed respite from that string of heartbreak.
The NYC real estate market is at an interesting crossroad. On the one hand, we feel a lot of pent-up demand from buyers who have been watching and waiting for rates to go down.
The big momentum we saw in January slowed down in March, as the expectation of rate cuts dimmed. It was as if the subset of buyers who were rushing to take advantage of the window where prices were still low and rates were still high, had done what they needed to do and the market slowly came back to the slower pace of 2023.
February was a little busier than January, which was busier than all of 2023. It felt that spring was in the air after a long winter for the New York real estate market.
2024 started with a busy tone for the New York City real estate market. For all of 2023, we said to our buyers that “you marry the price but not the rate”, meaning now was a good time to buy because it’s a buyer’s market and prices were negotiable.
The real estate market in NYC saw about 15% more transactions in December 2023 than a year ago in December 2022. Is it a telltale sign that the real estate prices will recover in 2024? Prices haven’t moved but more buyers have come off the sidelines and jumped into the market to start the search.
The NYC real estate market was the tale of two cities in October. Total transaction volume ticked higher, even though rates moved higher and sentiment was tense. Most of our new clients were understandably quiet. But quite a few of our repeat clients, the real estate veterans, were busy putting deals together.