{March 2019} The Flip-Flop Buyer and Seller
Spring is finally in the air! The first quarter of 2019 marks a noticeable improvement in traffic and sentiment for the NYC real estate market. My fellow-agents rate 2018 as the worst year since 2007. Activity levels were so low that some agents took the entire month of December off last year. This year, with rates heading lower and equity markets heading higher, we are seeing much more activities in the first 3 months of 2019. However, all these activities do not necessarily translate into done deals. Conversations in the office reveal that only 40-60% of the contracts sent out are getting signed. Back when the market is strong in 2014 and 15, almost all contracts sent out are signed. This is happening because buyers still have many options and do not commit to their decisions. The question of whether the market is going lower lingers in the background. On the flip side, many sellers are also unsure whether they need to/should sell at these lower prices and they too, change their minds.
The NYC real estate market is operating with limited optimism. Right before and after the rate cut, there was a rush of activities.
This is the first time in 3 years that the beginning of the fall came with the busy tone September usually brings.
It feels like dawn is finally coming. The real estate market in NYC has been in a tough spot ever since rates started to rise in June 2022.
After a difficult March and April, where 6 contracts didn’t get signed back to back, May offered a much needed respite from that string of heartbreak.
The NYC real estate market is at an interesting crossroad. On the one hand, we feel a lot of pent-up demand from buyers who have been watching and waiting for rates to go down.
February was a little busier than January, which was busier than all of 2023. It felt that spring was in the air after a long winter for the New York real estate market.
The real estate market in NYC saw about 15% more transactions in December 2023 than a year ago in December 2022. Is it a telltale sign that the real estate prices will recover in 2024? Prices haven’t moved but more buyers have come off the sidelines and jumped into the market to start the search.
Rates came down from their highs. Wall Street debated how soon and how much the Fed would cut rates next year.
Compared to last May, before rates started to rise (does anyone still remember those days?!) prices were now down about 11%. Transaction volumes were down 40%. Inventory was up almost 60%.
The NYC real estate market was the tale of two cities in October. Total transaction volume ticked higher, even though rates moved higher and sentiment was tense. Most of our new clients were understandably quiet. But quite a few of our repeat clients, the real estate veterans, were busy putting deals together.