{September 2018} The Tough Market Continues
Welcome to Fall! My favorite season of the year. The Manhattan real estate market continued to feel the downward pressure in September. Prices remained unchanged from July and August. But Days on Market (DOM) stretched out another 10 days to 80 days for closed listings and 113 days for in-contract listings. Compared to this time last year, about the same number of listings went into contract this September. However, roughly 20% fewer listings closed and 30% more listings hit the market. Transactions were still happening but for the most part only when sellers were willing to accept a lower price than those from the last couple of years. There was actually no shortage of buyers. But the buyers were value-minded. Lately, many main-stream media reported on the "record" number of price cuts and the NYC market being down 20-30%. Is it true that by the time you read about something in the papers, it is almost over?
What is the price premium for a Central Park View? The premium was 25% in 2018. But in 2013, 2014 and 2015, during the upswing of the market, the premium was much bigger at around 70%.
The NYC real estate market is operating with limited optimism. Right before and after the rate cut, there was a rush of activities.
This is the first time in 3 years that the beginning of the fall came with the busy tone September usually brings.
It feels like dawn is finally coming. The real estate market in NYC has been in a tough spot ever since rates started to rise in June 2022.
After a difficult March and April, where 6 contracts didn’t get signed back to back, May offered a much needed respite from that string of heartbreak.
The NYC real estate market is at an interesting crossroad. On the one hand, we feel a lot of pent-up demand from buyers who have been watching and waiting for rates to go down.
February was a little busier than January, which was busier than all of 2023. It felt that spring was in the air after a long winter for the New York real estate market.
The real estate market in NYC saw about 15% more transactions in December 2023 than a year ago in December 2022. Is it a telltale sign that the real estate prices will recover in 2024? Prices haven’t moved but more buyers have come off the sidelines and jumped into the market to start the search.
Rates came down from their highs. Wall Street debated how soon and how much the Fed would cut rates next year.
Compared to last May, before rates started to rise (does anyone still remember those days?!) prices were now down about 11%. Transaction volumes were down 40%. Inventory was up almost 60%.
The NYC real estate market was the tale of two cities in October. Total transaction volume ticked higher, even though rates moved higher and sentiment was tense. Most of our new clients were understandably quiet. But quite a few of our repeat clients, the real estate veterans, were busy putting deals together.